Is the Federal Reserve Right?

Federal Reserve

    At the recent FOMC meeting, Bernanke was not clear about timing and even course of the Federal Reserve in ending bond buying program.  Perhaps intentionally, his uncertainty created a lot of volatility in the market. Given this volatility, I think it would be very difficult for the Federal Reserve to signal any type of exit strategy without causing some form of market response. In a way, it makes Federal Reserve a hostage to the markets. … [Read more...]

Foreign Currency Losses Were Telegraphed in Advance

Forex graphic #1

In a recent Wall Street Journal article by Alex Frangos, ““Top Banks Missed Call Y100 Level Soon,” it was reported that not a single analyst from 15 financial institutions expected the Japanese Yen to fall to 100 per US Dollar.  Across the board, investors in traditional safe haven assets such as gold and foreign currency were caught unprepared by the impact of Quantitative Easing III and other money creating efforts by the world's central … [Read more...]